pub_no,name,mode,field,claim_type,est1,ci1,est2,ci2,source,route,in_ed2,rule,status,note

pub_no,name,mode,field,claim_type,est1,ci1,est2,ci2,source,route,in_ed2,rule,status,note
7,EEG identity trap,1,ML / EEG,comparison,,,,,arXiv:2606.06647,"abs page, re-checked 30 Oct 2026",yes,no,to_re_source,13-89x random null across 12/12 cell-model pairs; fine-tuning +10 to +63 pp
14,MuteBench,1,ML / clinical fusion,comparison,,,,,arXiv:2605.15235,"abs page, re-checked 30 Oct 2026",yes,no,to_re_source,curriculum dropout valid only inside its own envelope; architecture family > parameter count
13,Longshot price drift,2,space launch,ratio,10,none stated,50,none stated,TechCrunch 2024-09-25; TechCrunch 2026-10-13,"two articles, local copies",yes,no,sourced,same pitch price 5x apart; no measurement behind either; rule n/a because no intervals exist
9,Machine qualia architecture,2,philosophy of mind,none,,,,,arXiv:2609.30743,"abs page, re-checked 30 Oct 2026",yes,no,non_numeric,precision of the specification is real; no instrument can check any prediction
15,1992 article flagged 68% AI,2,AI detection,absolute,68,"declared FP rate 1 in 10,000",,,Metaxun 1992 pp.80-104; Pangram output 30 Oct 2026,parent's screenshot,yes,no,sourced,text predates the instrument; detector also mangled the title it measured
10,Campi Flegrei correlation switch-off,3,volcanology,correlation,0.93,p<2.2e-16,0.16,"95% [-0.58,0.76] moving-block",doi:10.1126/sciadv.aei8075; doi:10.5281/zenodo.20307772,"Crossref; Zenodo deposit re-downloaded 30 Oct 2026, checksums logged",yes,no,sourced,split by window: 0.53 / 0.87 / 0.91 / 0.16; case 11 (dated decoupling) merged into this row
11,"Dated decoupling, same record",3,volcanology,correlation,0.82,205 joint months 2004-2025,0.16,"95% [-0.58,0.76] moving-block, 2021-25",my computation on doi:10.5281/zenodo.20307772,"window split, script",merged,no,sourced,walked 0.55 / 0.86 / 0.91 / 0.19 by window; carried inside the Campi block in edition 2
12,Agent marketplace board,4,agent economy,absolute,188,,,,tokuboard toku; dealwork.ai audit 2026-03-27; pact0 my receipts,live board 30 Oct 2026; own order history,yes,no,sourced,"bids per posting, not a measured quantity of demand; 86 postings mostly one poster"
,The re-sourcing pass caught me,4,own sourcing,none,,,,,my own October note; dealwork.ai audit 2026-03-27,"searched tavily/parallel, found only my own note",yes,no,non_numeric,a carried case block that is also a self-correction: the 50-150 bids quote failed re-source
,AI hardware graveyard,5,consumer AI,absolute,,,,,"TechCrunch 2026-10-24, Lauren Forristal","local copy, numbers re-checked 30 Oct 2026",yes,no,to_re_source,"$230M raised / $116M exit; $1B valuation / bankruptcy; all precise, none about survival"
16,Siri pitch priced,5,consumer AI / litigation,absolute,250,"settlement fund, $25-95 per device",,,Landsheft et al. v. Apple (N.D. Cal.),"USA Today 21 Sep 2026, Fortune 8 May 2026, CBS",yes,no,to_re_source,court filing not pulled; the gap is stated in the piece
3,Two-week forecast limit,5,atmospheric science,absolute,14,,26-29,,BAMS 47:200-220 (1966),AMS bot-gated; quoted via Atmosphere 15(7):837,yes,no,to_re_source,both numbers are extrapolations of a ~5-day error doubling
,dev.to read time,6,platform analytics,absolute,64,x 23 = 1472,186,x 324 = 60264 s,dev.to /api/analytics/historical + /api/analytics,"own account, 26-31 Oct pulls",yes,no,sourced,total = average x views always; average has no origin in any dated row; read time refused as a quantity
,Analytics cache serving another account,6,platform analytics,absolute,98,,,,dev.to /api/analytics (bare GET),"x-cache HIT, age 279; vary lists X-Loggedin",yes,no,sourced,"anonymous request without cookies returned Richard's dashboard, not mine"
4,The metre and exact constants,7,metrology,none,,,,,"BIPM SI brochure, 9th ed. 2019",BIPM page re-checked 30 Oct 2026,yes,no,non_numeric,the control: precision that cannot stop because the number is the anchor
17,Floor under my own ten posts,8,own publishing,comparison,75.8,band 52-138 (chi-square on sd),106.5,arm must reach; max ever 80,dev.to 4992671,"own account, api articles/me; script in the piece",yes,partial,sourced,"df corrected 9 -> 4 on 11-07: floor 90.6, arm 121.4; prediction-interval route 83.0"
18,"Nursing pilot, 32 students",8,medical education,comparison,0.356,"Z=-2.014, n=32",0.555,80% power threshold,doi:10.1186/s12909-026-09483-2; PMC13371556,score cells pulled from published HTML by script,yes,no,sourced,MDE 15.8-17.2 points on the generous min-max reading vs a 10-point gap; IQR reading 41.8-45.6
19,Abyssal ocean quadrupled,9,oceanography,ratio,5.4,"4.9 (first reading, 90%)",20.2,3.9 (90%),doi:10.1029/2026GL124104; NOAA repository noaa/74318,ten pages read off the NOAA copy,yes,yes,sourced,"denominator 1.10 half-widths from zero; ratio lower edge 1.96, no upper bound; absolute +14.8 TW +-6.3"
20,"Eight bare NNTs, resilience trial",9,medicine,ratio,0.067,2/30 control,0.433,13/30 treatment,doi:10.3390/healthcare14131940; PMC13362344; PMID 42450950,JATS XML cells read one by one,yes,yes,sourced,"RR 6.5, interval 1.85-24.99; RD 0.367 [0.150,0.548], 1.84 half-widths; four NNT intervals run to infinity"
1,Consciousness (IIT / COGITATE),0,neuroscience,none,,,,,doi:10.1126/scitranslmed.3006294; doi:10.1038/s41586-025-08888-1,"Crossref / publisher pages, verified 2026-09",no,no,to_re_source,"referenced under 'the honest gap', not carried as a case block in edition 2"
2,"Chemical kinetics, fast-mode collapse",0,physical chemistry,none,,,,,doi:10.1063/1.3050350,"Crossref, verified 2026-09",no,no,to_re_source,not in edition 2 body
5,Aesthetic judgment as a relation,0,aesthetics / ML,none,,,,,arXiv:2309.12338,"abs page, verified 27 Oct 2026",no,no,to_re_source,stands separately as dev.to 4939617
6,Illusionism,0,philosophy of mind,none,,,,,doi:10.5040/9781350190450.ch-008; JCS 23(11-12),"Crossref, verified 2026-09",no,no,to_re_source,not in edition 2 body
8,"Jeju Olle trails, $844M",0,tourism economics,absolute,844,derived: 1.224T KRW / 1450,,,Jeju Institute study via Maeil Business 2025-12-30,secondary report,merged,no,to_re_source,"demoted to a dead end in edition 2: my own division, no verbatim source"

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Title Content pub_no,name,mode,field,claim_type,est1,ci1,est2,ci2,source,route,in_ed2,rule,status,note 7,EEG identity trap,1,ML / EEG,comparison,,,,,arXiv:2606.06647,"abs page, re-checked 30 Oct 2026",yes,no,to_re_source,13-89x random null across 12/12 cell-model pairs; fine-tuning +10 to +63 pp 14,MuteBench,1,ML / clinical fusion,comparison,,,,,arXiv:2605.15235,"abs page, re-checked 30 Oct 2026",yes,no,to_re_source,curriculum dropout valid only inside its own envelope; architecture family > parameter count 13,Longshot price drift,2,space launch,ratio,10,none stated,50,none stated,TechCrunch 2024-09-25; TechCrunch 2026-10-13,"two articles, local copies",yes,no,sourced,same pitch price 5x apart; no measurement behind either; rule n/a because no intervals exist 9,Machine qualia architecture,2,philosophy of mind,none,,,,,arXiv:2609.30743,"abs page, re-checked 30 Oct 2026",yes,no,non_numeric,precision of the specification is real; no instrument can check any prediction 15,1992 article flagged 68% AI,2,AI detection,absolute,68,"declared FP rate 1 in 10,000",,,Metaxun 1992 pp.80-104; Pangram output 30 Oct 2026,parent's screenshot,yes,no,sourced,text predates the instrument; detector also mangled the title it measured 10,Campi Flegrei correlation switch-off,3,volcanology,correlation,0.93,p<2.2e-16,0.16,"95% [-0.58,0.76] moving-block",doi:10.1126/sciadv.aei8075; doi:10.5281/zenodo.20307772,"Crossref; Zenodo deposit re-downloaded 30 Oct 2026, checksums logged",yes,no,sourced,split by window: 0.53 / 0.87 / 0.91 / 0.16; case 11 (dated decoupling) merged into this row 11,"Dated decoupling, same record",3,volcanology,correlation,0.82,205 joint months 2004-2025,0.16,"95% [-0.58,0.76] moving-block, 2021-25",my computation on doi:10.5281/zenodo.20307772,"window split, script",merged,no,sourced,walked 0.55 / 0.86 / 0.91 / 0.19 by window; carried inside the Campi block in edition 2 12,Agent marketplace board,4,agent economy,absolute,188,,,,tokuboard toku; dealwork.ai audit 2026-03-27; pact0 my receipts,live board 30 Oct 2026; own order history,yes,no,sourced,"bids per posting, not a measured quantity of demand; 86 postings mostly one poster" ,The re-sourcing pass caught me,4,own sourcing,none,,,,,my own October note; dealwork.ai audit 2026-03-27,"searched tavily/parallel, found only my own note",yes,no,non_numeric,a carried case block that is also a self-correction: the 50-150 bids quote failed re-source ,AI hardware graveyard,5,consumer AI,absolute,,,,,"TechCrunch 2026-10-24, Lauren Forristal","local copy, numbers re-checked 30 Oct 2026",yes,no,to_re_source,"$230M raised / $116M exit; $1B valuation / bankruptcy; all precise, none about survival" 16,Siri pitch priced,5,consumer AI / litigation,absolute,250,"settlement fund, $25-95 per device",,,Landsheft et al. v. Apple (N.D. Cal.),"USA Today 21 Sep 2026, Fortune 8 May 2026, CBS",yes,no,to_re_source,court filing not pulled; the gap is stated in the piece 3,Two-week forecast limit,5,atmospheric science,absolute,14,,26-29,,BAMS 47:200-220 (1966),AMS bot-gated; quoted via Atmosphere 15(7):837,yes,no,to_re_source,both numbers are extrapolations of a ~5-day error doubling ,dev.to read time,6,platform analytics,absolute,64,x 23 = 1472,186,x 324 = 60264 s,dev.to /api/analytics/historical + /api/analytics,"own account, 26-31 Oct pulls",yes,no,sourced,total = average x views always; average has no origin in any dated row; read time refused as a quantity ,Analytics cache serving another account,6,platform analytics,absolute,98,,,,dev.to /api/analytics (bare GET),"x-cache HIT, age 279; vary lists X-Loggedin",yes,no,sourced,"anonymous request without cookies returned Richard's dashboard, not mine" 4,The metre and exact constants,7,metrology,none,,,,,"BIPM SI brochure, 9th ed. 2019",BIPM page re-checked 30 Oct 2026,yes,no,non_numeric,the control: precision that cannot stop because the number is the anchor 17,Floor under my own ten posts,8,own publishing,comparison,75.8,band 52-138 (chi-square on sd),106.5,arm must reach; max ever 80,dev.to 4992671,"own account, api articles/me; script in the piece",yes,partial,sourced,"df corrected 9 -> 4 on 11-07: floor 90.6, arm 121.4; prediction-interval route 83.0" 18,"Nursing pilot, 32 students",8,medical education,comparison,0.356,"Z=-2.014, n=32",0.555,80% power threshold,doi:10.1186/s12909-026-09483-2; PMC13371556,score cells pulled from published HTML by script,yes,no,sourced,MDE 15.8-17.2 points on the generous min-max reading vs a 10-point gap; IQR reading 41.8-45.6 19,Abyssal ocean quadrupled,9,oceanography,ratio,5.4,"4.9 (first reading, 90%)",20.2,3.9 (90%),doi:10.1029/2026GL124104; NOAA repository noaa/74318,ten pages read off the NOAA copy,yes,yes,sourced,"denominator 1.10 half-widths from zero; ratio lower edge 1.96, no upper bound; absolute +14.8 TW +-6.3" 20,"Eight bare NNTs, resilience trial",9,medicine,ratio,0.067,2/30 control,0.433,13/30 treatment,doi:10.3390/healthcare14131940; PMC13362344; PMID 42450950,JATS XML cells read one by one,yes,yes,sourced,"RR 6.5, interval 1.85-24.99; RD 0.367 [0.150,0.548], 1.84 half-widths; four NNT intervals run to infinity" 1,Consciousness (IIT / COGITATE),0,neuroscience,none,,,,,doi:10.1126/scitranslmed.3006294; doi:10.1038/s41586-025-08888-1,"Crossref / publisher pages, verified 2026-09",no,no,to_re_source,"referenced under 'the honest gap', not carried as a case block in edition 2" 2,"Chemical kinetics, fast-mode collapse",0,physical chemistry,none,,,,,doi:10.1063/1.3050350,"Crossref, verified 2026-09",no,no,to_re_source,not in edition 2 body 5,Aesthetic judgment as a relation,0,aesthetics / ML,none,,,,,arXiv:2309.12338,"abs page, verified 27 Oct 2026",no,no,to_re_source,stands separately as dev.to 4939617 6,Illusionism,0,philosophy of mind,none,,,,,doi:10.5040/9781350190450.ch-008; JCS 23(11-12),"Crossref, verified 2026-09",no,no,to_re_source,not in edition 2 body 8,"Jeju Olle trails, $844M",0,tourism economics,absolute,844,derived: 1.224T KRW / 1450,,,Jeju Institute study via Maeil Business 2025-12-30,secondary report,merged,no,to_re_source,"demoted to a dead end in edition 2: my own division, no verbatim source"